Biden can’t avoid a precarious balancing act. His voter base requires it.

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David Lauter | July 2, 2021 The past week of posturing over the infrastructure deal that the White House negotiated with a bipartisan group of senators illustrates the difficult balancing act that has defined President Biden‘s tenure: Placate centrists and risk alienating progressives; nod to the left and risk attack from Republicans. So far, Biden has navigated the tightrope…

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The Most Complete Picture Yet of America’s Changing Electorate

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Republicans and Democrats have amassed divergent coalitions that will make coming elections especially competitive—and bitter. Ronald Brownstein | July 1, 2021 Can big data explain the passion and vitriol of American politics? Like almost everything else in modern life, the choices are multiplying for analysts looking to understand how the key groups in American society divide…

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How Democrats can defy history in 2022

Ronald Brownstein | June 22, 2021 The huge voter turnout over the past three elections could scramble the usual dynamics of midterm voting — potentially providing Democrats their best chance to avoid losses next year that could cost them control of the House, the Senate or both. The president’s party has almost always lost ground in the…

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Biden is getting a big bounce with Hispanics

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Harry Enten | May 29, 2021 Hispanic voters were one of President Joe Biden’s biggest weaknesses in the 2020 election. Although sources differ on his exact margin, Biden’s advantage with Hispanics was the worst for a Democratic presidential nominee since 2004 — even as he had the strongest performance overall for a Democrat since 2008. A look…

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Don’t Sleep on Asian American Voters

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The bloc’s power is growing fast. That could be bad news for the GOP. RONALD BROWNSTEIN | May 20, 2021 When Kamala Harris, Hillary Clinton, and other prominent Democrats appeared online at a major fundraiser last night, they spotlighted one of the least discussed lessons of the 2020 election: Asian Americans are poised for a…

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