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Brace for a Voter-Turnout Tsunami

Even with a surge in overall participation, white working-class voters could still remain decisive in the 2020 election.

Ronald Brownstein | June 13, 2019

Signs are growing that voter turnout in 2020 could reach the highest levels in decades—if not the highest in the past century—with a surge of new voters potentially producing the most diverse electorate in American history.

But paradoxically, that surge may not dislodge the central role of the predominantly white and heavily working-class voters who tipped the three Rust Belt states that decided 2016: Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Even amid a tide of new participation, those same voters could remain the tipping point of the 2020 election.

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Revisiting What Happened Next Tuesday

An Analysis of the Catalist Voter Registration Database

The last in a series on MRP & the 2018 Election

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ARE VOTER OPINIONS ON TRUMP AS STABLE AS THEY SEEM?

Amy Walter | June 7, 2019

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Rumblings from Trump's base could shape Democrats' choice for 2020

Ron Brownstein | June 4, 2019

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THE DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE IS OLDER, MORE MODERATE AND LESS EDUCATED THAN YOU THINK

Harry Enten | April 9, 2019

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DEMOCRATS CAN AND SHOULD EXPAND THE MAP TO GEORGIA AND ARIZONA IN 2020

While still putting the Midwest first 

Ruy Teixeira & John Halpin | March 1, 2019 

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What Happened Next Tuesday

A New Way to Understand Election Results

A three-part series on MRP & the 2018 Election

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WHY TRUMP MAY HAVE AN UNEXPECTED WEAKNESS WITH RURAL VOTERS IN 2020

Alex Roarty | June 6, 2019

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LIBRARY LAUNCHES INITIATIVE TO BOOST DATA SCIENCE EXPERTISE, SERVICES AT UC BERKELEY

Virgie Hoban | April 25, 2019

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HOW THE TRUMP ERA IS MOLDING THE NEXT GENERATION OF VOTERS

Recent data — and interviews with a dozen teens on the front lines of politics — show a decided leftward lean.

Emily Badger & Claire Cain Miller | April 1, 2019

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TO BEAT TRUMP IN 2020, DEMOCRATS MUST BUILD A WALL

Steve Rosenthal | January 21, 2019

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