Search results for: Jonathan Robinson
What Happened in the MN-01 Congressional Election? (2018)
What Happened in the MN-01 Congressional Election? (2018) Please note: The analysis below is based on an initial estimate of the 2018 electorate. Catalist released an updated analysis of the 2018 electorate in May 2019. February 15, 2019 Author: Jonathan Robinson, Lead Research Scientist Just 1,315 votes separated Democrat Dan Feehan from victory over…
Read MoreWhat Happened in the ME-02 Congressional Election? (2018)
What Happened in the ME-02 Congressional Election? (2018) Please note: The analysis below is based on an initial estimate of the 2018 electorate. Catalist released an updated analysis of the 2018 electorate in May 2019. February 1, 2019 Author: Jonathan Robinson, Lead Research Scientist at Catalist. It was never a given that Democrats would…
Read MoreWhat Happened in the Georgia Gubernatorial Election? (2018)
What Happened in the Georgia Gubernatorial Election? (2018) Please note: The analysis below is based on an initial estimate of the 2018 electorate. Catalist released an updated analysis of the 2018 electorate in May 2019. December 13, 2018 Author: Jonathan Robinson, Lead Research Scientist The race for Governor in Georgia between Democrat and former…
Read MoreKansas Win Mirrors Increased Democratic Engagement in Several Key States
Kansas Win Mirrors Increased Democratic Engagement in Several Key States Lead Author: Justine D’Elia-Kueper, Senior Data Scientist Coauthor: Yair Ghitza, Chief Scientist Abortion rights advocates won a significant victory in Kansas on Tuesday with voters overwhelmingly rejecting an anti-choice constitutional amendment 59 to 41 percent. The election saw remarkably high turnout among Democratic voters, a…
Read MoreWhat Happened in Virginia
What Happened™ in Virginia By Yair Ghitza and Jonathan Robinson Edited by Aaron Huertas, Site design by Melissa Amarawardana This report would not have been possible without the dedication of many on the Catalist team, whose hard work maintaining this national database is paramount to our ability to produce this report. The authors would also like…
Read MoreWhat Happened in Wisconsin
What Happened™ in Wisconsin By Jonathan Robinson Interactive Data Visualizations by Justine D’Elia-Kueper, Chase Stolworthy, and Sarah Grant. Edited by Aaron Huertas, Yair Ghitza, and Meg Schwenzfeier. Site design by Melissa Amarawardana. We’d like to thank our partners whose insights and contributions have been invaluable in making sense of the 2020 election. Further, this report would…
Read MoreWhat Happened in Nevada
What Happened™ in Nevada By Jonathan Robinson Interactive Data Visualizations by Justine D’Elia-Kueper, Chase Stolworthy, and Sarah Grant. Edited by Aaron Huertas, Yair Ghitza, and Meg Schwenzfeier. Site design by Melissa Amarawardana. We’d like to thank our partners whose insights and contributions have been invaluable in making sense of the 2020 election. Further, this report would…
Read MoreYes, you can generally trust issue polling — but there’s a catch
A new study of polls on hundreds of state ballot initiatives reveals no bias towards liberals or conservatives, but rather a consistent underestimation of the status quo G. Elliott Morris | May 11, 2021 There is a status quo bias in American politics. Most people think of the present as the ideal, and when the…
Read MoreTrump’s improvement with non-White voters in 2020 was important — but not as important as the turnout surge
Philip Bump | May 10, 2021 Since polls closed Nov. 3, there’s been a lot of focus on the extent to which Black and Hispanic voters seem to have been more open to President Donald Trump than they were in 2016. Preliminary exit polls showed Trump doing better with non-White voters than he had four…
Read MoreYounger voters propelled Biden to victory over Trump in 2020, new study finds
Alex Roarty | May 10, 2021 A sharp increase in the number of voters from the youngest two generations helped President Joe Biden win the 2020 election, according to a new study from a Democratic analytics firm, boosting him over former President Donald Trump despite the incumbent’s high levels of support among seniors. The report, published…
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