Search results for: Jonathan Robinson

What Happened™ in 2022 Arizona and Michigan The 2022 midterm election resulted in significant victories for Democrats despite the historical expectation that a party controlling the presidency and both chambers of Congress faces a midterm backlash from voters. Democratic overperformance was especially evident in states with highly contested Senate and Gubernatorial races, where electorates looked…

What Happened™ in 2022 Constituency Reports: Young Voters Young voters played a remarkable role in the 2022 midterms, demonstrating high participation and increased Democratic support. In fact, 2022 marks the first time that young people’s Democratic support has been greater than 60% for two consecutive midterm elections, and now includes a midterm with a Democratic incumbent…

What Happened™ in 2022 Constituency Reports: Women Voters Women are a core component of the Democratic coalition — consistently composing a larger share of the electorate and expressing higher Democratic support levels than men across race, class, education, age and other factors. Both nationally and in states with highly contested 2022 Senate and Gubernatorial elections,…

What Happened™ in 2022 Constituency Reports: AAPI Voters Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders (AAPI) are a rapidly growing and diversifying group in the United States and their voter engagement and participation have kept pace with this extraordinary growth. AAPI communities comprise a rapidly expanding share of registrants and voters and continue to support Democratic candidates…

What Happened™ in 2022 Constituency Reports: Latino Voters Latino voters represent one of the fastest-growing constituencies in the electorate. Latino voters have historically leaned strongly Democratic but their support share eroded between the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections. In 2022, Latino vote share and Democratic support stayed relatively stable, both nationally and in states with…

What Happened™ in 2022 Constituency Reports The following What Happened reports focus on how specific constituency groups voted in 2022 from the perspective of the Catalist voter database, the longest-running outside the two major political parties. The main purpose of these constituency reports — which focus on Black, Latino, AAPI, youth and women voters — is…

What Happened™ in 2022 Constituency Reports: Black Voters Black voters are the most consistently Democratic-leaning constituency in the electorate by race. In 2022, they continued to play a critical role in Democratic coalitions, but our estimates suggest a decrease in vote share and erosion of Democratic support nationally, especially among younger Black voters but also…

What Happened™ in 2022 Constituency Reports Data Guide The What Happened 2022 constituency reports include several types of data sourced from publicly available voter files as well as modeled data based on polling and other sources. Registration Data Voter registration data is public and routinely compiled by political parties and voter file companies, including Catalist.…

What Happened™ in 2022 An Analysis of the 2022 Midterms This is the first in a series of reports on What Happened in the 2022 general election from the perspective of the Catalist voter database, the longest-running outside the two major political parties. This analysis examines national-level election results in the House and state-level results…

Catalist Analysis 2022 Elections What Happened 2022 State Reports (October 27, 2023) — As part of its ongoing What Happened series, Catalist offers a deep dive on voting and demographics in Arizona and Michigan as well as an in-depth analysis of how turnout and swing voting patterns can contribute to Democratic vote share. What Happened…