The Most Complete Picture Yet of America’s Changing Electorate

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Republicans and Democrats have amassed divergent coalitions that will make coming elections especially competitive—and bitter. Ronald Brownstein | July 1, 2021 Can big data explain the passion and vitriol of American politics? Like almost everything else in modern life, the choices are multiplying for analysts looking to understand how the key groups in American society divide…

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Biden is getting a big bounce with Hispanics

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Harry Enten | May 29, 2021 Hispanic voters were one of President Joe Biden’s biggest weaknesses in the 2020 election. Although sources differ on his exact margin, Biden’s advantage with Hispanics was the worst for a Democratic presidential nominee since 2004 — even as he had the strongest performance overall for a Democrat since 2008. A look…

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Asian American voters could decide the Georgia Senate runoffs

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Asian American voters in the state made a difference in November’s general election — and they could do so again. Li Zhou | December 30, 2020 James Woo, a 35-year-old marketing manager based in Peachtree Corners, has seen Georgia’s Asian American community change a lot since he moved there in middle school. “Growing up here, there…

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Why Democrats need Latino voters in Georgia’s Senate runoffs

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“We’re trying to normalize that Georgia is no longer black and white.” Nicole Narea | December 29, 2020 The Georgia Senate runoff elections on January 5 will determine which party controls the Senate — and the future of President-elect Joe Biden’s agenda. Latino voters could represent an important, if overlooked, coalition in that race that could push…

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Higher Arab American turnout in 2020 could have helped Biden win Michigan, while Black voters and other young voters of color led the way in the battleground state

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Azmi Haroun | November 4, 2020 Initial reports point to Arab American and Black voters as crucial to Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s win in the battleground state of Michigan. Early polling and initial exit polling from the Arab American Institute and the Council on American-Islamic Relations suggest that Arab American and Muslim voters voted in higher numbers this…

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Millennials and seniors are spurning Trump. Here’s why middle-aged voters are sticking with him.

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Alex Roarty | September 14, 2020 Generation Z loathes him. Millennials overwhelmingly back his opponent. And even once-supportive seniors have turned away. As his turbulent re-election bid enters its final phase, President Donald Trump has been hindered by lackluster approval from most generations of voters — with one important exception. In poll after poll of…

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