Biden can’t avoid a precarious balancing act. His voter base requires it.

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David Lauter | July 2, 2021 The past week of posturing over the infrastructure deal that the White House negotiated with a bipartisan group of senators illustrates the difficult balancing act that has defined President Biden‘s tenure: Placate centrists and risk alienating progressives; nod to the left and risk attack from Republicans. So far, Biden has navigated the tightrope…

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The Most Complete Picture Yet of America’s Changing Electorate

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Republicans and Democrats have amassed divergent coalitions that will make coming elections especially competitive—and bitter. Ronald Brownstein | July 1, 2021 Can big data explain the passion and vitriol of American politics? Like almost everything else in modern life, the choices are multiplying for analysts looking to understand how the key groups in American society divide…

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Biden is getting a big bounce with Hispanics

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Harry Enten | May 29, 2021 Hispanic voters were one of President Joe Biden’s biggest weaknesses in the 2020 election. Although sources differ on his exact margin, Biden’s advantage with Hispanics was the worst for a Democratic presidential nominee since 2004 — even as he had the strongest performance overall for a Democrat since 2008. A look…

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Don’t Sleep on Asian American Voters

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The bloc’s power is growing fast. That could be bad news for the GOP. RONALD BROWNSTEIN | May 20, 2021 When Kamala Harris, Hillary Clinton, and other prominent Democrats appeared online at a major fundraiser last night, they spotlighted one of the least discussed lessons of the 2020 election: Asian Americans are poised for a…

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New data helps explain Trump’s gains among Latino voters in 2020

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Democrats can’t afford to take Latino voters for granted. Nicole Narea | May 19, 2021 Conventional wisdom long dictated that if Latino voters show up to vote, they will overwhelmingly support Democrats. But a recent report with more details on the 2020 election results suggests the reality is more complicated. It was clear after the election that Trump…

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A new analysis uncovers the demographic shifts that led to Joe Biden’s victory

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Suburban whites moved left; young and non-white voters showed up May 14, 2021 MUCH ATTENTION has been paid to Donald Trump’s surprise performance in last year’s presidential election. The former president performed much better than the pre-election polls expected, especially in states with high concentrations of Hispanics or white voters without college degrees. But given…

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