Posts Tagged ‘Jonathan Robinson’
Younger voters propelled Biden to victory over Trump in 2020, new study finds
Alex Roarty | May 10, 2021 A sharp increase in the number of voters from the youngest two generations helped President Joe Biden win the 2020 election, according to a new study from a Democratic analytics firm, boosting him over former President Donald Trump despite the incumbent’s high levels of support among seniors. The report, published…
Read MoreMassive turnout, voters of color — new data fill in the details on Biden’s election win
David Lauter | May 10, 2021 High turnout among voters of color, increased support among white voters with college degrees, and a stop — or a least a pause — in declining support for Democrats among white voters without degrees: President Biden needed all of that for his victory in November and he, or some…
Read MoreOpinion: The biggest 2020 election surprise you probably never heard of
Jennifer Rubin | May 10, 2021 Polling and data analysts are finally obtaining actual voter files from the 2020 election, freeing them from their reliance on questionable exit polling. Some of the findings confirm what we already knew: the decline of non-college-educated Whites as a percentage of the electorate [Catalist analysis] (from 51 percent in 2008 to…
Read MoreA new report complicates simplistic narratives about race and the 2020 election
The report from the firm Catalist looks at what changed since 2016, but also at the parties’ coalitions overall. Andrew Prokop | May 10, 2021 In the days and weeks after presidential election results come in, commentators attempting to figure out what happened with voter demographics are often in a fog — forced to rely on unreliable…
Read MoreWhy Democrats need Latino voters in Georgia’s Senate runoffs
“We’re trying to normalize that Georgia is no longer black and white.” Nicole Narea | December 29, 2020 The Georgia Senate runoff elections on January 5 will determine which party controls the Senate — and the future of President-elect Joe Biden’s agenda. Latino voters could represent an important, if overlooked, coalition in that race that could push…
Read MoreRising Latino voters could be force in Georgia Senate races
With Georgia’s Hispanic population now topping 1 million, Latino political power is beginning to grow in the state Jeff Amy, Associated Press | December 12, 2020 LILBURN, Ga. — As Georgia heads into two key runoffs that will determine control of the U.S. Senate, Democrats are hoping to count on Latino voters who helped tilt…
Read MoreWe have data on who voted early in key battleground states and whom they may be voting for
Republicans started slow but are making up ground. Bernard L. Fraga and Jonathan Robinson | November 1, 2020 By Saturday night, 91 million Americans had already voted in the 2020 elections. Several states are approaching or even exceeding the total number of voters they had in 2016. Spurred by the coronavirus pandemic, concerns about the U.S. Postal Service and recent court rulings that could limit which…
Read MoreRepublicans see bright spot in 2020 voter registration push
Nicholas Riccardi | October 20, 2020 The Republican Party has cut into Democrats’ advantage in voter registration tallies across some critical presidential battleground states, a fact they point to as evidence of steady — and overlooked — enthusiasm for President Donald Trump and his party. Even though Trump trails in national polls and struggles with fundraising with…
Read MoreIs Traditional Polling Underselling Donald Trump’s True Strength?
Nate Cohn | May 17, 2016 Hillary Clinton’s lead in general election polls has faded over the last few weeks. One reason might be that a growing number of Republicans are coalescing around Donald Trump’s candidacy. Another part of the explanation? Fewer live-interview telephone polls. So far this year, live-interview telephone surveys have tended to…
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