Posts Tagged ‘2016’
Who’s voting early? Latino turnout is surging, but white turnout is, too.
Bernard L. Fraga and Brian Schaffner | November 4, 2016 By most accounts, Hillary Clinton’s path to victory relies on substantial turnout among black and Latino voters. And while early voting numbers so far appear to favor the Democrats, reports in recent days have suggested that although Latino participation may be up, African American turnout may be lower than in 2012.…
Read MoreHow Many Republicans Marry Democrats?
To answer these questions, I teamed up with Yair Ghitza, chief scientist at Catalist, a prominent political data firm that sells data to left-of-center campaigns and interest groups, and also to academics like me who use the data for scholarly research. Catalist maintains a continuously updated database containing records of personal, political and commercial data for nearly all American adults.
Read MoreIs Traditional Polling Underselling Donald Trump’s True Strength?
Nate Cohn | May 17, 2016 Hillary Clinton’s lead in general election polls has faded over the last few weeks. One reason might be that a growing number of Republicans are coalescing around Donald Trump’s candidacy. Another part of the explanation? Fewer live-interview telephone polls. So far this year, live-interview telephone surveys have tended to…
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