Posts by Aaron Huertas
Research shows just how much more power White voters wield in local politics
That’s true even when Blacks and Latinos are in the majority By Jesse H. Rhodes, Brian F. Schaffner and Raymond J. La Raja | September 3, 2020 Around the nation, residents in communities large and small have been protesting police violence and systemic racism. The scale of the protests is staggering. Today’s Black Lives Matter movement may…
Read MoreIn These Neighborhoods, the Jobless Rate May Top 30 Percent
By Quoctrung Bui and Emily Badger | August 5, 2020 The economic damage from the coronavirus is most visible in areas like Midtown Manhattan, where lunch spots have closed, businesses have gone dark and once-crowded sidewalks have emptied. But some of the worst economic pain lies in other neighborhoods, in the places where workers who’ve endured the broadest…
Read MoreHow young black voters could break Biden — and why Democrats are worried
Police brutality has spurred young African Americans to take to the streets. But it’s far from clear they’ll go to the polls. ELENA SCHNEIDER and LAURA BARRÓN-LÓPEZ | 06/05/2020 In late January, Black Lives Matter commissioned eight focus groups of young black voters in swing states to drill down on a problem for Democrats since Barack Obama…
Read MoreThe Pandemic Hasn’t Changed Voters’ Minds About Trump
Education remains the most important dividing line in America. Ronald Brownstein | May 21, 2020 For all the focus on the gender gap, the diploma divide over Donald Trump is looming as an even greater factor in the 2020 presidential race—just as it was in 2016. Amid the coronavirus outbreak, women generally express more financial…
Read MoreBlack voters are also ‘suburban’ voters
Jonathan Capehart | April 9, 2020 There are words and phrases used as shorthand in politics and journalism that are meant to paint an enormous picture in the mind of readers and voters. “Urban voters” is synonymous with African Americans. “Working-class voters,” “blue-collar voters,” “upper-middle-class voters” and “suburban voters” all conjure up the image of white…
Read MoreHRC Releases March Voter Snapshot
Lucas Acosta | March 9, 2020 Today, HRC released its March Voter Snapshot giving insight into the power of LGBTQ and Equality Voters in the remaining March primary and caucus states. Click here for the March State Voter Snapshot So far this primary season, LGBTQ voters have turned out in record numbers. In early states like New…
Read MoreLGBTQ voters turned out in record numbers on Super Tuesday
That’s why the Human Rights Campaign began working with data analytics firm Catalist in 2016 to identify 57 million “equality voters” who care deeply about LGBTQ equality.
Read MoreDo Democrats Need a Progressive to Excite the Base?
Most notably, for all the talk of how a Democratic nominee must drive voter turnout, the Democrats who flipped seats in 2018 did so primarily by winning back votes rather than by turning out new voters. According to the data firm Catalist, even though there were 14.4 million new voters in 2018 who supported Democrats by a 60 percent to percent margin, changing voter choice accounted for 4.5 percent of the 5.0 percent shift in Democrat’s favor from 2016 to 2018. In other words, Trump voters who supported Democrats in 2018 were 90 percent responsible for the blue wave while increased turnout was 10 percent responsible. Why shouldn’t Democrats try to follow the same path to success in 2020?
Read MoreAre Blue-Collar White Women Trump’s Red Wall?
They’re the one group whose support for impeachment isn’t growing. Anne Kim | October 25, 2019 Despite a nonstop onslaught of fresh and damning revelations about his misconduct in office, President Donald Trump has so far maintained his core supporters’ loyalty. As of the start of this week, Trump’s average approval rating holds at 42 percent—only slightly…
Read MoreWhy Political Pundits Are Obsessed with Hidden Moderates
A recent study by the data firm Catalist suggests that liberals made up a disproportionate share of the turnout increase, even in Repubican-leaning and swing districts. The study found that the 2018 electorate looked much more like the electorate in a presidential year than a typical midterm (in other words, more liberal) and that “young voters and voters of color, particularly Latinx voters, were a substantially larger share of the electorate than in past midterms.”
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