Search results for: Jonathan Robinson
A new report complicates simplistic narratives about race and the 2020 election
The report from the firm Catalist looks at what changed since 2016, but also at the parties’ coalitions overall. Andrew Prokop | May 10, 2021 In the days and weeks after presidential election results come in, commentators attempting to figure out what happened with voter demographics are often in a fog — forced to rely on unreliable…
Read MoreCATALIST DATA SCIENTISTS DISCUSS NEW RESEARCH AT AAPOR
News Catalist Data Scientists discuss new research at AAPOR WASHINGTON—Catalist data scientists are presenting three pieces of research at the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) conference this week. Catalist Chief Scientist Yair Ghitza will present the What Happened analysis, including topline demographic results from the organizations’ modeling and a technical discussion of methods.…
Read MoreWhat Happened in 2020 National Analysis
What Happened™ in 2020 By Yair Ghitza and Jonathan Robinson Interactive Data Visualizations by Chase Stolworthy, Edited by Aaron Huertas, Site design by Melissa Amarawardana The 2020 election was historic and uniquely challenging. Not only was it conducted in the middle of a global pandemic, but it was one of the most intensely partisan elections in…
Read MoreRising Latino voters could be force in Georgia Senate races
With Georgia’s Hispanic population now topping 1 million, Latino political power is beginning to grow in the state Jeff Amy, Associated Press | December 12, 2020 LILBURN, Ga. — As Georgia heads into two key runoffs that will determine control of the U.S. Senate, Democrats are hoping to count on Latino voters who helped tilt…
Read MoreWe have data on who voted early in key battleground states and whom they may be voting for
Republicans started slow but are making up ground. Bernard L. Fraga and Jonathan Robinson | November 1, 2020 By Saturday night, 91 million Americans had already voted in the 2020 elections. Several states are approaching or even exceeding the total number of voters they had in 2016. Spurred by the coronavirus pandemic, concerns about the U.S. Postal Service and recent court rulings that could limit which…
Read MoreRepublicans see bright spot in 2020 voter registration push
Nicholas Riccardi | October 20, 2020 The Republican Party has cut into Democrats’ advantage in voter registration tallies across some critical presidential battleground states, a fact they point to as evidence of steady — and overlooked — enthusiasm for President Donald Trump and his party. Even though Trump trails in national polls and struggles with fundraising with…
Read MorePennsylvania’s election is in uncharted territory with a new rule that rejects ‘naked’ ballots
Grace Panetta | September 25, 2020 For the first time, Pennsylvania is allowing all voters to cast a ballot by mail without an excuse. But the state Supreme Court has ruled that officials must reject “naked” ballots that arrive without an inner secrecy envelope in addition to the outer envelope. While one election official estimated…
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News Catalist data and analysis has been cited by: Recent Catalist Coverage In Half of States, Youth Voter Registration Lower Now than in 2018 July 13, 2022 Campaigns and organizations have a lot of work to do to match youth voter registration numbers from the previous midterm cycle, especially among newly eligible voters. What Can…
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Research & Analysis DEEP-MAPS Model of the Labor Force The impact of the current employment crisis on places and people Click here to learn more What Can Ballot Initiatives Defending Abortion Rights Tell Us About Public Opinion on Abortion? Jonathan Robinson | July 11, 2022 Read the post here on DataForProgress.org The Peoria Project The…
Read MoreIs Traditional Polling Underselling Donald Trump’s True Strength?
Nate Cohn | May 17, 2016 Hillary Clinton’s lead in general election polls has faded over the last few weeks. One reason might be that a growing number of Republicans are coalescing around Donald Trump’s candidacy. Another part of the explanation? Fewer live-interview telephone polls. So far this year, live-interview telephone surveys have tended to…
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