Search results for: Jonathan Robinson
Jonathan Robinson
Jonathan Robinson Director of Research Jonathan Robinson joined Catalist in 2013 as a Research Analyst. Today, as Director of Research in the Analytics Department, he works on a wide variety of research projects from various topics in survey methodology to improving Catalist’s best in class Vote Propensity models. He co-authored the What Happened in 2020…
Analysis
Catalist Analysis 2022 Elections Election Day Snapshot (November 8, 2022) — A snapshot of absentee and early voting data matched to the Catalist file as of the morning of Election Day, including estimates of vote propensity and vote choice, along along with results from 2022 polling projects. Kansas Win Mirrors Increased Democratic Engagement in Several Key…
What Happened in the MN-01 Congressional Election? (2018)
What Happened in the MN-01 Congressional Election? (2018) Please note: The analysis below is based on an initial estimate of the 2018 electorate. Catalist released an updated analysis of the 2018 electorate in May 2019. February 15, 2019 Author: Jonathan Robinson, Lead Research Scientist Just 1,315 votes separated Democrat Dan Feehan from victory over…
What Happened in the ME-02 Congressional Election? (2018)
What Happened in the ME-02 Congressional Election? (2018) Please note: The analysis below is based on an initial estimate of the 2018 electorate. Catalist released an updated analysis of the 2018 electorate in May 2019. February 1, 2019 Author: Jonathan Robinson, Lead Research Scientist at Catalist. It was never a given that Democrats would…
What Happened in the Georgia Gubernatorial Election? (2018)
What Happened in the Georgia Gubernatorial Election? (2018) Please note: The analysis below is based on an initial estimate of the 2018 electorate. Catalist released an updated analysis of the 2018 electorate in May 2019. December 13, 2018 Author: Jonathan Robinson, Lead Research Scientist The race for Governor in Georgia between Democrat and former…
Kansas Win Mirrors Increased Democratic Engagement in Several Key States
Kansas Win Mirrors Increased Democratic Engagement in Several Key States Lead Author: Justine D’Elia-Kueper, Senior Data Scientist Coauthor: Yair Ghitza, Chief Scientist Abortion rights advocates won a significant victory in Kansas on Tuesday with voters overwhelmingly rejecting an anti-choice constitutional amendment 59 to 41 percent. The election saw remarkably high turnout among Democratic voters, a…
What Happened in Virginia
What Happened™ in Virginia By Yair Ghitza and Jonathan Robinson Edited by Aaron Huertas, Site design by Melissa Amarawardana This report would not have been possible without the dedication of many on the Catalist team, whose hard work maintaining this national database is paramount to our ability to produce this report. The authors would also like…
What Happened in Wisconsin
What Happened™ in Wisconsin By Jonathan Robinson Interactive Data Visualizations by Justine D’Elia-Kueper, Chase Stolworthy, and Sarah Grant. Edited by Aaron Huertas, Yair Ghitza, and Meg Schwenzfeier. Site design by Melissa Amarawardana. We’d like to thank our partners whose insights and contributions have been invaluable in making sense of the 2020 election. Further, this report would…
What Happened in Nevada
What Happened™ in Nevada By Jonathan Robinson Interactive Data Visualizations by Justine D’Elia-Kueper, Chase Stolworthy, and Sarah Grant. Edited by Aaron Huertas, Yair Ghitza, and Meg Schwenzfeier. Site design by Melissa Amarawardana. We’d like to thank our partners whose insights and contributions have been invaluable in making sense of the 2020 election. Further, this report would…
Yes, you can generally trust issue polling — but there’s a catch
A new study of polls on hundreds of state ballot initiatives reveals no bias towards liberals or conservatives, but rather a consistent underestimation of the status quo G. Elliott Morris | May 11, 2021 There is a status quo bias in American politics. Most people think of the present as the ideal, and when the…