Search results for: Jonathan Robinson
Jonathan Robinson
Jonathan Robinson Director of Research Jonathan Robinson joined Catalist in 2013 as a Research Analyst. Today, as Director of Research in the Analytics Department, he works on a wide variety of research projects from various topics in survey methodology to improving Catalist’s best in class Vote Propensity models. He co-authored the What Happened in 2020…
What Happened in Virginia
What Happened™ in Virginia By Yair Ghitza and Jonathan Robinson Edited by Aaron Huertas, Site design by Melissa Amarawardana This report would not have been possible without the dedication of many on the Catalist team, whose hard work maintaining this national database is paramount to our ability to produce this report. The authors would also like…
What Happened in Wisconsin
What Happened™ in Wisconsin By Jonathan Robinson Interactive Data Visualizations by Justine D’Elia-Kueper, Chase Stolworthy, and Sarah Grant. Edited by Aaron Huertas, Yair Ghitza, and Meg Schwenzfeier. Site design by Melissa Amarawardana. We’d like to thank our partners whose insights and contributions have been invaluable in making sense of the 2020 election. Further, this report would…
What Happened in Nevada
What Happened™ in Nevada By Jonathan Robinson Interactive Data Visualizations by Justine D’Elia-Kueper, Chase Stolworthy, and Sarah Grant. Edited by Aaron Huertas, Yair Ghitza, and Meg Schwenzfeier. Site design by Melissa Amarawardana. We’d like to thank our partners whose insights and contributions have been invaluable in making sense of the 2020 election. Further, this report would…
Yes, you can generally trust issue polling — but there’s a catch
A new study of polls on hundreds of state ballot initiatives reveals no bias towards liberals or conservatives, but rather a consistent underestimation of the status quo G. Elliott Morris | May 11, 2021 There is a status quo bias in American politics. Most people think of the present as the ideal, and when the…
Trump’s improvement with non-White voters in 2020 was important — but not as important as the turnout surge
Philip Bump | May 10, 2021 Since polls closed Nov. 3, there’s been a lot of focus on the extent to which Black and Hispanic voters seem to have been more open to President Donald Trump than they were in 2016. Preliminary exit polls showed Trump doing better with non-White voters than he had four…
Younger voters propelled Biden to victory over Trump in 2020, new study finds
Alex Roarty | May 10, 2021 A sharp increase in the number of voters from the youngest two generations helped President Joe Biden win the 2020 election, according to a new study from a Democratic analytics firm, boosting him over former President Donald Trump despite the incumbent’s high levels of support among seniors. The report, published…
A new report complicates simplistic narratives about race and the 2020 election
The report from the firm Catalist looks at what changed since 2016, but also at the parties’ coalitions overall. Andrew Prokop | May 10, 2021 In the days and weeks after presidential election results come in, commentators attempting to figure out what happened with voter demographics are often in a fog — forced to rely on unreliable…
CATALIST DATA SCIENTISTS DISCUSS NEW RESEARCH AT AAPOR
News Catalist Data Scientists discuss new research at AAPOR WASHINGTON—Catalist data scientists are presenting three pieces of research at the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) conference this week. Catalist Chief Scientist Yair Ghitza will present the What Happened analysis, including topline demographic results from the organizations’ modeling and a technical discussion of methods.…
What Happened in 2020 National Analysis
What Happened™ in 2020 By Yair Ghitza and Jonathan Robinson Interactive Data Visualizations by Chase Stolworthy, Edited by Aaron Huertas, Site design by Melissa Amarawardana The 2020 election was historic and uniquely challenging. Not only was it conducted in the middle of a global pandemic, but it was one of the most intensely partisan elections in…